洛杉矶县租金至2016年中将上涨8.2%

据南加大勒斯克房地产中心(Lusk Center for Real Estate)的租金预测报告，南加公寓平均租金在未来两年可望上涨超过8%。报告预估，洛县租金至2016年中上涨8.2%，平均每月租金1856元。橙县上涨8.6%，每月租金1806元。内陆帝国地区上涨9.9%，每月租金1246元。依照预估，未来两年租金上涨的速度较过去12个月快3%至4%。但因新建公寓增加，空屋率持平。这份报告充分显示，在租金上涨、薪资停滞和供应不足之下，民众租屋的负担愈来愈沉重。其他数据显示，洛杉矶是全美租金与收入比率最高的城市。勒斯克房地产中心负责人葛林(Richard Green)说，经济和就业都有改善，但薪资增加有限，因此出租市场和空置率虽皆佳，但房客愈来愈负担不起。这份报告调查了南加52个地区后发现，不同地区差异极大。圣塔蒙尼卡(Santa Monica)因受惠于科技业蓬勃，平均租金达2618元。新港滩(Newport Beach)、南尔湾(South Irvine)、洛市中心和好莱坞平均租金都超过2000 元。而羚羊谷和多个内陆帝国地区的租金仍低于1000元。

The cost of the average apartment in the Southland is projected to grow more than 8% over the next two years, according to a report out Tuesday.

A new study from USC’s Lusk Center for Real Estate projects that rents will climb 8.2% in Los Angeles County by mid-2016, to $1,856 a month, on average. In Orange County, the prediction is 8.6% growth, to $1,806. And in the Inland Empire, the study forecasts 9.9% rent growth to $1,246 a month.

If those forecasts pan out, rents would grow over the next two years faster than the 3% to 4% clip seen in the last 12 months. Vacancy rates are expected to decline a bit even as more new apartment buildings open.

The study is just the latest to reflect a growing housing affordability crisis, sparked by rising rents, sluggish incomes and relatively tight supply. By some measures, L.A. is the least affordable rental market in the country.

“Though the economy and employment have improved, renters’ incomes are stagnant,” said Richard Green, who directs the Lusk Center. “So while net absorption and occupancy rates are moving in the right direction, affordability continues to worsen.”

The study – which monitors 52 submarkets across Southern California – also reflects great variations within the vast region.

Rents were highest in Santa Monica, where a tech-sector boom has pushed the average rent to $2,618. Newport Beach, South Irvine, Downtown Los Angeles and Hollywood all also topped the $2,000-a-month mark. The Antelope Valley and a number of submarkets in the Inland Empire remain below $1,000 a month.

And there’s some evidence that high-rent hotspots are spilling over into neighboring areas. Rents soared 11.1% last year in Palms and Mar Vista, next door to Santa Monica. Other pockets of growth included Newport Beach, South Irvine and Corona.